Climate change risk to southern African wild food plants

نویسندگان

چکیده

Climate change is a threat to food security. Wild-harvested plants (WFPs) are important for the diets of millions people and contribute security, especially in rural low-income communities, but little known about climate risk WFPs. Using species distribution models, we examined 1190 WFP used by 19 native language groups southern Africa. We project that 60% will experience an increase (40% decrease) range extent within Africa 2060–2080 under low warming scenario (Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) 2.6), while reductions 66% projected high (RCP 8.5). Decreases geographic > 70% traditionally some groups. Loss suitable climatic conditions decrease richness most north-eastern Africa—with losses 200 species—while increases south east South Availability security during lean times also change. In south-eastern Africa, local diversity WFPs increase, maize sorghum yields decrease. However, this potential nutritional safety net may be lost central parts region, where declines both crop yield projected. By looking beyond conventional crops exceptional WFPs, research helps understanding linkages between traditional knowledge, adaptation.

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ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Regional Environmental Change

سال: 2021

ISSN: ['1436-378X', '1436-3798']

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10113-021-01755-5